Status and perception of point-of-care ultrasound education in Korean medical schools: A national cross-sectional study.

As point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is increasingly being used in clinical settings, ultrasound education is expanding into student curricula. We aimed to determine the status and awareness of POCUS education in Korean medical schools using a nationwide cross-sectional survey. In October 2021, a survey questionnaire consisting of 20 questions was distributed via e-mail to professors in the emergency medicine (EM) departments of Korean medical schools. The questionnaire encompassed 19 multiple-choice questions covering demographics, current education, perceptions, and barriers, and the final question was an open-ended inquiry seeking suggestions for POCUS education. All EM departments of the 40 medical schools responded, of which only 13 (33%) reported providing POCUS education. The implementation of POCUS education primarily occurred in the third and fourth years, with less than 4 hours of dedicated training time. Five schools offered a hands-on education. Among schools offering ultrasound education, POCUS training for trauma cases is the most common. Eight schools had designated professors responsible for POCUS education and only 2 possessed educational ultrasound devices. Of the respondents, 64% expressed the belief that POCUS education for medical students is necessary, whereas 36%, including those with neutral opinions, did not anticipate its importance. The identified barriers to POCUS education included faculty shortages (83%), infrastructure limitations (76%), training time constraints (74%), and a limited awareness of POCUS (29%). POCUS education in Korean medical schools was limited to a minority of EM departments (33%). To successfully implement POCUS education in medical curricula, it is crucial to clarify learning objectives, enhance faculty recognition, and improve the infrastructure. These findings provide valuable insights for advancing ultrasound training in medical schools to ensure the provision of high-quality POCUS education for future healthcare professionals.

Massive Transfusion Protocol and Outcome of Patients with Acute Variceal Bleeding.

Background/Aims: The massive transfusion protocol (MTP) can improve the outcomes of trauma patients with hemorrhagic shock and some patients with non-traumatic hemorrhagic shock. However, no information is available regarding whether MTP can improve the outcomes of acute variceal bleeding (AVB). This study aimed to determine the effects of MTP on the outcomes of patients with AVB. Methods: Consecutive patients (n = 218) with AVB who did not have current malignancy and visited the emergency room between July 2014 and June 2022 were analyzed. 42-day mortality and failure to control the bleeding were compared between patients with and without MTP activation. Additionally, propensity-score matching was conducted. Results: The amount of blood product transfused was higher in the MTP group. The 42-day mortality rate (42.1% vs. 1.5%, p < 0.001) and the rate of failure to control bleeding (36.8% vs. 0.5%, p < 0.001) were significantly higher in those who received blood transfusions by MTP. MTP was an independent factor associated with 42-day mortality in the multivariable-adjusted analysis (HR 21.05; 95% CI 3.07-144.21, p = 0.002, HR 24.04; 95% CI 3.41-169.31, p = 0.001). The MTP group showed consistently higher 42-day mortality and failure to control bleeding in all subgroup analyses, stratified by systolic blood pressure, hemoglobin level, and the model for end-stage liver disease score. The MTP group also showed higher 42-day mortality (42.9% vs. 0%, p = 0.001) and failure to control bleeding (42.9% vs. 0%, p = 0.001) in a propensity score-matched analysis (n = 52). Conclusions: MTP was associated with poor outcomes in patients with AVB. Further studies are needed to see whether MTP can be an option for patients with massive AVB.

Network of cyano-p-aramid nanofibres creates ultrastiff and water-rich hydrospongels.

The structure-property paradox of biological tissues, in which water-rich porous structures efficiently transfer mass while remaining highly mechanically stiff, remains unsolved. Although hydrogel/sponge hybridization is the key to understanding this phenomenon, material incompatibility makes this a challenging task. Here we describe hydrogel/sponge hybrids (hydrospongels) that behave as both ultrastiff water-rich gels and reversibly squeezable sponges. The self-organizing network of cyano-p-aramid nanofibres holds approximately 5,000 times more water than its solid content. Hydrospongels, even at a water concentration exceeding 90 wt%, are hard as cartilage with an elastic modulus of 50-80 MPa, and are 10-1,000 times stiffer than typical hydrogels. They endure a compressive strain above 85% through poroelastic relaxation and hydrothermal pressure at 120 °C. This performance is produced by amphiphilic surfaces, high rigidity and an interfibrillar, interaction-driven percolating network of nanofibres. These features can inspire the development of future biofunctional materials.

Real-Time Tracheal Ultrasound vs. Capnography for Intubation Confirmation during CPR Wearing a Powered Air-Purifying Respirator in COVID-19 Era.

This study aimed to compare the accuracy of real-time trans-tracheal ultrasound (TTUS) with capnography to confirm intubation in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) while wearing a powered air-purifying respirator (PAPR). This setting reflects increased caution due to contagious diseases. This single-center, prospective, comparative study enrolled patients requiring CPR while wearing a PAPR who visited the emergency department of a tertiary medical center from December 2020 to August 2022. A physician performed the TTUS in real time and recorded the tube placement assessment. Another healthcare provider attached waveform capnography to the tube and recorded end-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) after five ventilations. The accuracy and agreement of both methods compared with direct laryngoscopic visualization of tube placement, and the time taken by both methods was evaluated. Thirty-three patients with cardiac arrest were analyzed. TTUS confirmed tube placement with 100% accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity, whereas capnography demonstrated 97% accuracy, 96.8% sensitivity, and 100% specificity. The Kappa values for TTUS and capnography compared to direct visualization were 1.0 and 0.7843, respectively. EtCO2 was measured in 45 (37-59) seconds (median (interquartile range)), whereas TTUS required only 12 (8-23) seconds, indicating that TTUS was significantly faster (p < 0.001). No significant correlation was found between the physician's TTUS proficiency and image acquisition time. This study demonstrated that TTUS is more accurate and faster than EtCO2 measurement for confirming endotracheal tube placement during CPR, particularly in the context of PAPR usage in pandemic conditions.

Modified Cardiovascular Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Sepsis: External Validation in Intensive Care Unit Patients.

BACKGROUND: There is a need to update the cardiovascular (CV) Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score to reflect the current practice in sepsis. We previously proposed the modified CV SOFA score from data on blood pressure, norepinephrine equivalent dose, and lactate as gathered from emergency departments. In this study, we externally validated the modified CV SOFA score in multicenter intensive care unit (ICU) patients. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective observational study was conducted on ICU patients at six hospitals in Korea. We included adult patients with sepsis who were admitted to ICUs. We compared the prognostic performance of the modified CV/total SOFA score and the original CV/total SOFA score in predicting 28-day mortality. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the calibration curve, respectively. RESULTS: We analyzed 1,015 ICU patients with sepsis. In overall patients, the 28-day mortality rate was 31.2%. The predictive validity of the modified CV SOFA (AUROC, 0.712; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.677-0.746; P < 0.001) was significantly higher than that of the original CV SOFA (AUROC, 0.644; 95% CI, 0.611-0.677). The predictive validity of modified total SOFA score for 28-day mortality was significantly higher than that of the original total SOFA (AUROC, 0.747 vs. 0.730; 95% CI, 0.715-0.779; P = 0.002). The calibration curve of the original CV SOFA for 28-day mortality showed poor calibration. In contrast, the calibration curve of the modified CV SOFA for 28-day mortality showed good calibration. CONCLUSION: In patients with sepsis in the ICU, the modified SOFA score performed better than the original SOFA score in predicting 28-day mortality.

Effect of Blade Size on the First-Pass Success Rate of Endotracheal Intubation Using the C-MAC Video Laryngoscope.

We sought to determine whether blade size influences the first-pass success (FPS) rate when performing endotracheal intubation (ETI) with a C-MAC video laryngoscope (VL) in emergency department (ED) patients. This single-center, retrospective, observational study was conducted between August 2016 and July 2022. A total of 1467 patients was divided into two categories based on the blade size used during the first ETI attempt: blade-3 (n = 365) and blade-4 groups (n = 1102). The primary outcome was the FPS rate. The secondary outcomes included the glottic view, multiple attempt rate, and ETI-related complications. We used propensity score matching to reduce the potential confounders between the two groups. Among these, 363 pairs of matched propensity scores were generated. The FPS rate did not differ between the blade-3 (84.8%) and blade-4 groups (87.3%) in the matched cohort (p = 0.335). The multiple attempt rate did not differ significantly between groups (p = 0.289) and was 3.9% and 2.5% in the blade-3 and blade-4 groups, respectively. The difficult glottic view (11.3 vs. 6.9%, p = 0.039) and complication rates (15.4% vs. 10.5%, p = 0.047) were significantly higher in the blade-3 group than in the blade-4 group. The FPS rates of ETI with the blade-3 and blade-4 groups in adult patients in the ED did not differ significantly.

Machine learning pre-hospital real-time cardiac arrest outcome prediction (PReCAP) using time-adaptive cohort model based on the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcome Study.

To save time during transport, where resuscitation quality can degrade in a moving ambulance, it would be prudent to continue the resuscitation on scene if there is a high likelihood of ROSC occurring at the scene. We developed the pre-hospital real-time cardiac arrest outcome prediction (PReCAP) model to predict ROSC at the scene using prehospital input variables with time-adaptive cohort. The patient survival at discharge from the emergency department (ED), the 30-day survival rate, and the final Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) were secondary prediction outcomes in this study. The Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcome Study (PAROS) database, which includes out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients transferred by emergency medical service in Asia between 2009 and 2018, was utilized for this study. From the variables available in the PAROS database, we selected relevant variables to predict OHCA outcomes. Light gradient-boosting machine (LightGBM) was used to build the PReCAP model. Between 2009 and 2018, 157,654 patients in the PAROS database were enrolled in our study. In terms of prediction of ROSC on scene, the PReCAP had an AUROC score between 0.85 and 0.87. The PReCAP had an AUROC score between 0.91 and 0.93 for predicting survived to discharge from ED, and an AUROC score between 0.80 and 0.86 for predicting the 30-day survival. The PReCAP predicted CPC with an AUROC score ranging from 0.84 to 0.91. The feature importance differed with time in the PReCAP model prediction of ROSC on scene. Using the PAROS database, PReCAP predicted ROSC on scene, survival to discharge from ED, 30-day survival, and CPC for each minute with an AUROC score ranging from 0.8 to 0.93. As this model used a multi-national database, it might be applicable for a variety of environments and populations.

Prognostic Performance of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II Scores in Patients with Suspected Infection According to Intensive Care Unit Type.

We investigated the prognostic performance of scoring systems by the intensive care unit (ICU) type. This was a retrospective observational study using data from the Marketplace for Medical Information in the Intensive Care IV database. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We obtained Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II scores in each ICU type. Prognostic performance was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and was compared among ICU types. A total of 29,618 patients were analyzed, and the in-hospital mortality was 12.4%. The overall prognostic performance of APACHE III was significantly higher than those of SOFA and SAPS II (0.807, [95% confidence interval, 0.799-0.814], 0.785 [0.773-0.797], and 0.795 [0.787-0.811], respectively). The prognostic performance of SOFA, APACHE III, and SAPS II scores was significantly different between ICU types. The AUROC ranges of SOFA, APACHE III, and SAPS II were 0.723-0.826, 0.728-0.860, and 0.759-0.819, respectively. The neurosurgical and surgical ICUs had lower prognostic performance than other ICU types. The prognostic performance of scoring systems in patients with suspected infection is significantly different according to ICU type. APACHE III systems have the highest prediction performance. ICU type may be a significant factor in the prognostication.

Multiscale Porous Carbon Materials by In Situ Growth of Metal-Organic Framework in the Micro-Channel of Delignified Wood for High-Performance Water Purification.

Porous carbon materials are suitable as highly efficient adsorbents for the treatment of organic pollutants in wastewater. In this study, we developed multiscale porous and heteroatom (O, N)-doped activated carbon aerogels (CAs) based on mesoporous zeolitic imidazolate framework-8 (ZIF-8) nanocrystals and wood using 2,2,6,6-tetramethylpiperidine-1-oxyl (TEMPO) oxidation, in situ synthesis, and carbonization/activation. The surface carboxyl groups in a TEMPO-oxidized wood (TW) can provide considerably large nucleation sites for ZIF-8. Consequently, ZIF-8, with excellent porosity, was successfully loaded into the TW via in situ growth to enhance the specific surface area and enable heteroatom doping. Thereafter, the ZIF-8-loaded TW was subjected to a direct carbonization/activation process, and the obtained activated CA, denoted as ZIF-8/TW-CA, exhibited a highly interconnected porous structure containing multiscale (micro, meso, and macro) pores. Additionally, the resultant ZIF-8/TW-CA exhibited a low density, high specific surface area, and excellent organic dye adsorption capacity of 56.0 mg cm-3, 785.8 m2 g-1, and 169.4 mg g-1, respectively. Given its sustainable, scalable, and low-cost wood platform, the proposed high-performance CA is expected to enable the substantial expansion of strategies for environmental protection, energy storage, and catalysis.

Prognostic accuracy of initial and 24-h maximum SOFA scores of septic shock patients in the emergency department.

Background: We compared the prognostic accuracy of in-hospital mortality of the initial Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFAini) score at the time of sepsis recognition and resuscitation and the maximum SOFA score (SOFAmax) using the worst variables in the 24 h after the initial score measurement in emergency department (ED) patients with septic shock. Methods: This was a retrospective observational study using a multicenter prospective registry of septic shock patients in the ED between October 2015 and December 2019. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The prognostic accuracies of SOFAini and SOFAmax were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve. Results: A total of 4860 patients was included, and the in-hospital mortality was 22.1%. In 59.7% of patients, SOFAmax increased compared with SOFAini, and the mean change of total SOFA score was 2.0 (standard deviation, 2.3). There was a significant difference in in-hospital mortality according to total SOFA score and the SOFA component scores, except cardiovascular SOFA score. The AUC of SOFAmax (0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69-0.72) was significantly higher than that of SOFAini (AUC, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.66-0.69) in predicting in-hospital mortality. The AUCs of all scores of the six components were higher for the maximum values. Conclusion: The prognostic accuracy of the initial SOFA score at the time of sepsis recognition was lower than the 24-h maximal SOFA score in ED patients with septic shock. Follow-up assessments of organ failure may improve discrimination of the SOFA score for predicting mortality.

Polyether-based waterborne synergists: effect of polymer topologies on pigment dispersion.

Control of polymer topologies is essential to determine their unique physical properties and potential applications. The polymer topologies can have a critical effect on pigment dispersion owing to their unique architectures; however, studies using polymer topologies on pigment dispersion in aqueous systems are scarce. Thus, this study proposes various topologies of polyether-based waterborne synergists, such as linear, hyperbranched, and branched cyclic structures. Specifically, we applied branched types of polyglycidols (PGs) as a synergist to provide polymer topology-dependent dispersibility for the surface-modification of Red 170 particles through adsorption and steric hindrance. The topology-controlled PG synergists (PGSs) were successfully prepared by post-polymerization modification with phthalimide and benzoyl groups. Particularly, the branched types of PGSs, branched cyclic PGS (bc-PGS), and hyperbranched PGS (hb-PGS) exhibited improved dispersibility through adsorption on top of the pigment, interaction between dispersant (BYK 190) and pigment, and steric effect. Surprisingly, hb-PGS conferred the Red 170 pigment particles with superior storage stability than that of bc-PGS despite their similar structural features. This study suggests the widespread potential application of PGSs as waterborne synergists for various dispersion applications.

Clinical support system for triage based on federated learning for the Korea triage and acuity scale.

Background and aims: This study developed a clinical support system based on federated learning to predict the need for a revised Korea Triage Acuity Scale (KTAS) to facilitate triage. Methods: This was a retrospective study that used data from 11,952,887 patients in the Korean National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) from 2016 to 2018 for model development. Separate cohorts were created based on the emergency medical center level in the NEDIS: regional emergency medical center (REMC), local emergency medical center (LEMC), and local emergency medical institution (LEMI). External and temporal validation used data from emergency department (ED) of the study site from 2019 to 2021. Patient features obtained during the triage process and the initial KTAS scores were used to develop the prediction model. Federated learning was used to rectify the disparity in data quality between EDs. The patient's demographic information, vital signs in triage, mental status, arrival information, and initial KTAS were included in the input feature. Results: 3,626,154 patients' visits were included in the regional emergency medical center cohort; 8,278,081 patients' visits were included in the local emergency medical center cohort; and 48,652 patients' visits were included in the local emergency medical institution cohort. The study site cohort, which is used for external and temporal validation, included 135,780 patients visits. Among the patients in the REMC and study site cohorts, KTAS level 3 patients accounted for the highest proportion at 42.4% and 45.1%, respectively, whereas in the LEMC and LEMI cohorts, KTAS level 4 patients accounted for the highest proportion. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the prediction model was 0.786, 0.750, and 0.770 in the external and temporal validation. Patients with revised KTAS scores had a higher admission rate and ED mortality rate than those with unaltered KTAS scores. Conclusions: This novel system might accurately predict the likelihood of KTAS acuity revision and support clinician-based triage.

Development and derivation of bacteremia prediction model in patients with hepatobiliary infection.

INTRODUCTION: Hepatobiliary infections are common in the emergency department (ED), and the mortality rate for this condition is high. A suitable bacteremia prediction model would support prompt identification of bacteremia and appropriate management of hepatobiliary infections in the ED. Therefore, we attempted to produce a bacteremia prediction model with both internal and external validation for hepatobiliary infections in the ED. METHODS: Patients with hepatobiliary infection were extracted from retrospective cohort databases of two tertiary hospitals from January 2018 to December 2019 and from January 2016 to December 2019, respectively. Independent risk factors were determined using multivariable logistic regression in a developmental cohort. We assigned a weighted value to predictive factors and developed a prediction model, which was validated both internally and externally. We assessed discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). RESULTS: One hospital cohort of 1568 patients was randomly divided into a developmental group of 927 patients (60%) and an internal validation group of 641 patients (40%), and 736 people from the other hospital cohort were used for external validation. Bacteremia rates were 20.5%, 18.1%, and 23.1% in the developmental, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Nine significant factors were used for predicting bacteremia, including age, three vital signs, and five laboratory tests. After applying our bacteremia prediction rule to the validation cohort, 56.5% and 53.8% of the internal and external validation groups were classified as low-risk bacteremia groups (bacteremia rates: 8.6% and 13.9%, respectively). The AUCs were 0.727 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.686-0.767), 0.730 (95% CI: 0.679-0.781), and 0.715 (95% CI: 0.672-0.758) for the developmental, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for internal validation/external validation was 73.2%/67.6% and 63.0%/60.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: A bacteremia prediction model for hepatobiliary infection might be useful to predict the risk of bacteremia. It might also reduce the need for blood culture in low-risk patients.

A Pilot Study Evaluating LV Diastolic Function with M-Mode Measurement of Mitral Valve Movement in the Parasternal Long Axis View.

This pilot study aimed to develop a new, reliable, and easy-to-use method for the evaluation of diastolic function through the M-mode measurement of mitral valve (MV) movement in the parasternal long axis (PSLA), similar to E-point septal separation (EPSS) used for systolic function estimation. Thirty healthy volunteers from a tertiary emergency department (ED) underwent M-mode measurements of the MV anterior leaflet in the PSLA view. EPSS, A-point septal separation (APSS), A-point opening length (APOL), and E-point opening length (EPOL) were measured in the PSLA view, along with the E and A velocities and e' velocity in the apical four-chamber view. Correlation analyses were performed to assess the relationship between M-mode and Doppler measurements, and the measurement time was evaluated. No significant correlations were found between M-mode and Doppler measurements in the study. However, M-mode measurements exhibited high reproducibility and faster acquisition, and the EPOL value consistently exceeded the APOL value, resembling the E and A pattern. These findings suggest that visually assessing the M-mode pattern on the MV anterior leaflet in the PSLA view may be a practical approach to estimating diastolic function in the ED. Further investigations with a larger and more diverse patient population are needed to validate these findings.

EARLY PREDICTION OF UNEXPECTED LATENT SHOCK IN THE EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT USING VITAL SIGNS.

ABSTRACT: Objective/Introduction : Sequential vital-sign information and trends in vital signs are useful for predicting changes in patient state. This study aims to predict latent shock by observing sequential changes in patient vital signs. Methods : The dataset for this retrospective study contained a total of 93,194 emergency department (ED) visits from January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2020, and Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV-ED data. We further divided the data into training and validation datasets by random sampling without replacement at a 7:3 ratio. We carried out external validation with MIMIC-IV-ED. Our prediction model included logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF) classifier, a multilayer perceptron (MLP), and a recurrent neural network (RNN). To analyze the model performance, we used area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results : Data of 89,250 visits of patients who met prespecified criteria were used to develop a latent-shock prediction model. Data of 142,250 patient visits from MIMIC-IV-ED satisfying the same inclusion criteria were used for external validation of the prediction model. The AUROC values of prediction for latent shock were 0.822, 0.841, 0.852, and 0.830 with RNN, MLP, RF, and LR methods, respectively, at 3 h before latent shock. This is higher than the shock index or adjusted shock index. Conclusion : We developed a latent shock prediction model based on 24 h of vital-sign sequence that changed with time and predicted the results by individual.

Method to analyze phthalate esters from soft toys dissolving into water mimicking infant playing.

Along with bisphenol-A (BPA), conventional phthalate esters (PAEs) have been reported as environmental hormones, despite their functional usefulness as plasticizers. Nevertheless, they are frequently found in various products, including children's utensils and toys made of poly (vinyl chloride). This is tremendously important because PAEs are harmful to infants. In addition, gel/slime-type toys made of poly (vinyl alcohol) are currently popular for developing infant' tactile senses. In this study, we developed a method to qualitatively and quantitatively detect PAEs in gel/slime-type toys mimicking, infants playing with them in a bathtub. As a result, 1,2-cyclohexanedicarboxylic acid diisononyl ester (DINCH), one of the PAE alternatives, transferred into the water from the toys and was detected most commonly (108-719 µg g-1; 0.01-0.07 wt%) among PAEs. The detected DINCH levels were below the universally accepted levels for PAEs (0.1 wt%). However, the amount of DINCH detected could still be toxic, in accordance with toxicity tests using water fleas. Furthermore, unpleasant odors were emitted when the toys containing toxic volatile organic compounds were unpacked. This is the first study to develop a method to analyze PAE in gel/slime-type toys and determine that alternatives to conventional PAEs cannot be unconditionally regarded as safe chemicals. Therefore, the revised standards for regulating PAEs and their alternatives must be reconsidered.

Clinical factors predicting return emergency department visits in chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia patients.

BACKGROUND: Although chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (FN) is the most common and life-threatening oncologic emergency, the characteristics and outcomes associated with return visits to the emergency department (ED) in these patients are uncertain. Hence, we aimed to investigate the predictive factors and clinical outcomes of chemotherapy-induced FN patients returning to the ED. METHOD: This single-center, retrospective observational study spanning 14 years included chemotherapy-induced FN patients who visited the ED and were discharged. The primary outcome was a return visit to the ED within five days. We conducted logistic regression analyses to evaluate the factors influencing ED return visit. RESULTS: This study included 1318 FN patients, 154 (12.1%) of whom revisited the ED within five days. Patients (53.3%) revisited the ED owing to persistent fever (56.5%), with no intensive care unit admission and only one mortality case who was discharged hopelessly. Multivariable analysis revealed that shock index >0.9 (odds ratio [OR]: 1.45, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.10), thrombocytopenia (<100 × 103/uL) (OR: 1.64, 95% CI, 1.11-2.42), and lactic acid level > 2 mmol/L (OR: 1.51, 95% CI, 0.99-2.25) were associated with an increased risk of a return visit to the ED, whereas being transferred into the ED from other hospitals (OR: 0.08; 95% CI, 0.005-0.38) was associated with a decreased risk of a return visit to the ED. CONCLUSION: High shock index, lactic acid, thrombocytopenia, and ED arrival type can predict return visits to the ED in chemotherapy-induced FN patients.

Prognostic Accuracy of SpO2-based Respiratory Sequential Organ Failure Assessment for Predicting In-hospital Mortality.

Introduction: In this study we aimed to investigate the prognostic accuracy for predicting in-hospital mortality using respiratory Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores by the conventional method of missing-value imputation with normal partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2)- and oxygen saturation (SpO2)-based estimation methods. Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective cohort study of patients with suspected infection in the emergency department. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We compared the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) and calibration results of the conventional method (normal value imputation for missing PaO2) and six SpO2-based methods: using methods A, B, PaO2 is estimated by dividing SpO2 by a scale; with methods C and D, PaO2 was estimated by a mathematical model from a previous study; with methods E, F, respiratory SOFA scores was estimated by SpO2 thresholds and respiratory support use; with methods A, C, E are SpO2-based estimation for all PaO2 values, while methods B, D, F use such estimation only for missing PaO2 values. Results: Among the 15,119 patients included in the study, the in-hospital mortality rate was 4.9%. The missing PaO2was 56.0%. The calibration plots were similar among all methods. Each method yielded AUROCs that ranged from 0.735-0.772. The AUROC for the conventional method was 0.755 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.736-0.773). The AUROC for method C (0.772; 95% CI 0.754-0.790) was higher than that of the conventional method, which was an SpO2-based estimation for all PaO2 values. The AUROC for total SOFA score from method E (0.815; 95% CI 0.800-0.831) was higher than that from the conventional method (0.806; 95% CI 0.790-0.822), in which respiratory SOFA was calculated by the predefined SpO2 cut-offs and oxygen support. Conclusion: In non-ICU settings, respiratory SOFA scores estimated by SpO2 might have acceptable prognostic accuracy for predicting in-hospital mortality. Our results suggest that SpO2-based respiratory SOFA score calculation might be an alternative for evaluating respiratory organ failure in the ED and clinical research settings.

A Simple Bacteremia Score for Predicting Bacteremia in Patients with Suspected Infection in the Emergency Department: A Cohort Study.

Bacteremia is a life-threatening condition that has increased in prevalence over the past two decades. Prompt recognition of bacteremia is important; however, identification of bacteremia requires 1 to 2 days. This retrospective cohort study, conducted from 10 November 2014 to November 2019, among patients with suspected infection who visited the emergency department (ED), aimed to develop and validate a simple tool for predicting bacteremia. The study population was randomly divided into derivation and development cohorts. Predictors of bacteremia based on the literature and logistic regression were assessed. A weighted value was assigned to predictors to develop a prediction model for bacteremia using the derivation cohort; discrimination was then assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among the 22,519 patients enrolled, 18,015 were assigned to the derivation group and 4504 to the validation group. Sixteen candidate variables were selected, and all sixteen were used as significant predictors of bacteremia (model 1). Among the sixteen variables, the top five with higher odds ratio, including procalcitonin, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lactate level, platelet count, and body temperature, were used for the simple bacteremia score (model 2). The proportion of bacteremia increased according to the simple bacteremia score in both cohorts. The AUC for model 1 was 0.805 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.785-0.824) and model 2 was 0.791 (95% CI 0.772-0.810). The simple bacteremia prediction score using only five variables demonstrated a comparable performance with the model including sixteen variables using all laboratory results and vital signs. This simple score is useful for predicting bacteremia-assisted clinical decisions.